SITUATIONAL-ROLE APPROACH IN PREDICTING THE BEHAVIOR OF PARTICIPANTS IN INVESTIGATIVE ACTIONS

The article examines the issue of high information uncertainty and time deficit in investigative activities. Primary attention is focused on the unpredictability of the behavior of participants in investigative actions, which often leads to tactical errors and a decrease in the quality of the investigation. The purpose of the study is the scientific substantiation of the situational-role approach as a conceptual basis for psychological forecasting. The author proves that this approach serves as an effective heuristic tool, allowing the overcoming of information redundancy by integrating disparate personality traits into consolidated constructs – predictively significant roles. In the course of the work, it was concluded that the use of the developed role modeling algorithm significantly increases the accuracy of the forecast (cooperation or opposition) compared to intuitive methods. The main findings emphasize the need to implement scientifically substantiated predictive models into practice to minimize investigative errors and optimize tactical influence on the participants of the investigation.

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